Человек, который изменил всё

Morning, Suzanne. Coffee on?

ˈmɔrnɪŋ, suˈzæn. ˈkɔfi ɔn?

Yes.

jɛs.

Great. Peter Brand.

greɪt. ˈpitər brænd.

Billy.

ˈbɪli.

How are...? Hi, how you doing?

haʊ ər...? haɪ, haʊ ju duɪŋ?

Nice to see you.

nis tɪ si ju.

Good to have you here. Boy, you move in fast.

gʊd tɪ hæv ju hir. bɔɪ, ju muv ɪn fæst.

Yeah, yeah. I got here early this morning.

jæ, jæ. aɪ gɑt hir ˈərli ðɪs ˈmɔrnɪŋ.

Wow. Huh.

waʊ. hə.

All moved in.

ɔl muvd ɪn.

Yeah.

jæ.

Yeah. Hey, Billy, I wanted you to see these player evaluations that you asked me to do.

jæ. heɪ, ˈbɪli, aɪ ˈwɔntɪd ju tɪ si ðiz pleɪər ɪˌvæljuˈeɪʃənz ðət ju æst mi tɪ du.

I asked you to do three.

aɪ æst ju tɪ du θri.

Yeah.

jæ.

To evaluate three players.

tɪ ɪˈvæljuˌeɪt θri pleɪərz.

Yeah.

jæ.

How many did you do?

haʊ ˈmɛni dɪd ju du?

47.

47

Okay.

ˌoʊˈkeɪ.

Actually, 51. I don't know why I lied just then.

ˈæˌkʧuəli, 51 aɪ doʊnt noʊ waɪ aɪ laɪd ʤɪst ðɛn.

Why don't you walk me through the board?

waɪ doʊnt ju wɔk mi θru ðə bɔrd?

So, using this equation in the upper left right here, I'm projecting that we need to win at least 99 games in order to make it to the

soʊ, ˈjuzɪŋ ðɪs ɪkˈweɪʒən ɪn ðə ˈəpər lɛft raɪt hir, əm prɑˈʤɛktɪŋ ðət wi nid tɪ wɪn æt list 99 geɪmz ɪn ˈɔrdər tɪ meɪk ɪt tɪ ðə

postseason. We need to score at least 814 runs in order to win those games and allow no more than 645 runs.

postseason. wi nid tɪ skɔr æt list 814 rənz ɪn ˈɔrdər tɪ wɪn ðoʊz geɪmz ənd əˈlaʊ noʊ mɔr ðən 645 rənz.

What's this?

wəts ðɪs?

This is a code that I've written for our year-to-year projections. This is building in all the intelligence that we have to project players.

ðɪs ɪz ə koʊd ðət aɪv ˈrɪtən fər ɑr year-to-year prɑˈʤɛkʃənz. ðɪs ɪz ˈbɪldɪŋ ɪn ɔl ðə ˌɪnˈtɛləʤəns ðət wi hæv tɪ ˈprɑʤɛkt pleɪərz.

Okay.

ˌoʊˈkeɪ.

It's about getting things down to one number. Using the stats the way we read them, we'll find value in players that nobody else can see.

ɪts əˈbaʊt ˈgɪtɪŋ θɪŋz daʊn tɪ wən ˈnəmbər. ˈjuzɪŋ ðə stæts ðə weɪ wi rɛd ðɛm, wɪl faɪnd ˈvælju ɪn pleɪərz ðət ˈnoʊˌbɑˌdi ɛls kən si.

People are overlooked for a variety of biased reasons and perceived flaws: age, appearance, personality.

ˈpipəl ər ˈoʊvərˌlʊkt fər ə vərˈaɪəti əv baɪəst ˈrizənz ənd pərˈsivd flɔz: eɪʤ, əˈpɪrəns, ˌpərsəˈnælɪti.

Bill James and mathematics cut straight through that.

bɪl ʤeɪmz ənd ˌmæθəˈmætɪks kət streɪt θru ðət.

Billy, of the 20 000 notable players for us to consider, I believe that there is a championship team of 25 people that we can afford

ˈbɪli, əv ðə 20 000 ˈnoʊtəbəl pleɪərz fər ˈjuˈɛs tɪ kənˈsɪdər, aɪ bɪˈliv ðət ðɛr ɪz ə ˈʧæmpiənˌʃɪp tim əv 25 ˈpipəl ðət wi kən əˈfɔrd

because everyone else in baseball undervalues them. Like an island of misfit toys.

bɪˈkəz ˈɛvriˌwən ɛls ɪn ˈbeɪsˈbɔl ˈəndərˌvæljuz ðɛm. laɪk ən ˈaɪlənd əv ˈmɪsˌfɪt tɔɪz.

Billy, this is Chad Bradford. He's a relief pitcher. He is one of the most undervalued players in baseball. His defect is that he throws funny.

ˈbɪli, ðɪs ɪz ʧæd ˈbrædfərd. hiz ə rɪˈlif ˈpɪʧər. hi ɪz wən əv ðə moʊst ˈəndərˌvæljud pleɪərz ɪn ˈbeɪsˈbɔl. hɪz ˈdifɛkt ɪz ðət hi θroʊz ˈfəni.

Nobody in the big leagues cares about him because he looks funny. This guy could be not just the best pitcher in our pen, but one of the most

ˈnoʊˌbɑˌdi ɪn ðə bɪg ligz kɛrz əˈbaʊt ɪm bɪˈkəz hi lʊks ˈfəni. ðɪs gaɪ kʊd bi nɑt ʤɪst ðə bɛst ˈpɪʧər ɪn ɑr pɛn, bət wən əv ðə moʊst

effective relief pitchers in all baseball.

ˈifɛktɪv rɪˈlif ˈpɪʧərz ɪn ɔl ˈbeɪsˈbɔl.

This guy should cost $3 million a year. We can get him for 237, 000.

ðɪs gaɪ ʃʊd kɔst 3 ˈmɪljən ə jɪr. wi kən gɪt ɪm fər 237 000